- December 9, 2019
- Posted by: Ramki Ramakrishnan
- Category: India
The following is an abridged version of the most recent trade idea that was shared with the members of the exclusive club of WaveTimes. I present this as one more example you can study and learn from.
The stock in question is Castrol India and you will now see how I used Elliott Waves to trade the stock profitably. As always, I start with a long term chart, and establish that we could have made a significant low and hence there was a reasonable chance for the stock to reverse into our profit zone. This first chart establishes that. The trade idea posted on 31 October 2019.
I then figure out where to buy. I had to balance between aggression and caution. If I buy too early, I might be faced with a correction that goes deeper than what I would like.
At this time, I considered to place my stop below 144, but this was changed later, as you will see.
The stock dipped below 151 on 4 November, and we were long one lot, and looking to add further down.
6 November 2019
As you can see from the above, I make no pretense of knowing the future. At WaveTimes, the goal is not making predictions, but to take sensible, low-risk trades that give us out sized rewards for the risk we take.
As the price action developed, it became clear that the correction is becoming more devious than what I would have liked. So I asked my members to delay buying until I finally posted this chart for their consideration on 15 November 2019. We decided to place our order to buy the second lot at 142.80.
As luck would have it, (or perhaps some of my members became aggressive and placed their buy order for large quantities just ahead of the recommended level), the low seen was 142.95 and the stock closed at 144.55. The following day the stock jumped by over 7%. So we had missed the second buy level by a mere 15 paise.
I finally recommended that my members should take profits on the one lot that they had at 159.70, ahead of the nearest target of 160.70. I was about to go away on a 10-day trip and didn’t want my members to miss taking profits. These same players who bought ahead of our buy level of 142.80 could end up selling ahead of the perfect level too! But the stock managed to reach 160.70, from where it came sharply lower!
If you check the price now, you will see that it has dipped to around 132.50 from 160.70. The secret to successful trading is knowing which battles to participate in! We don’t need to be there all the time. And a few good trades can do our bottom line a world of good. I teach all this in my online program at https://elliottwaves.com . There is a special festival offer of a 50% discount which you should consider. Best wishes to all my readers.