India’s Sensex readies for correction

3 June 2009

This 10-minute chart gives early warning of an imminent S/T top

The Indian stock markets have been in a tizzy following a resounding victory by the Congress party. The Sensex gapped higher from 12219 a day before to open at 13479 the day after the election results. Today, the markets reached a high of 15045, up 23% after the election results.

The 10-minute chart shows three attempts at 15045 and it couldn’t break higher. Subsequently, the lower neckline was violated. This is a good early warning of an imminent correction. Look for a move down to 14170 first. We will probably get some fresh buying there, driving the index slightly higher. But eventually we should see the index decline to at least 13375.

If you'd like to see how I work through Indian markets in real depth, I cover this in Module 9, Module 10, Module 17 and Module 18 of my course, built around real Indian stock case studies.


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